The Major League Soccer's July 4th celebration begins on Friday in Frisco, where Dallas FC will host Minnesota United at Toyota Stadium, wrapping up their three-game home stand. Following a 3-2 loss to San Diego on Saturday, the Toros team has slipped to 11th in the Western Conference standings, while the New York Red Bulls remain in third after a 2-2 draw.

Dallas FC has not gained any home advantage this season, as they have the fewest wins at home in the league so far, tied with others. This is a sharp contrast to last year, when their strong home performances kept them in playoff contention, with 10 wins at Toyota Stadium, though they ultimately fell six points short of the playoff line.

Under manager Eric Quill, the team has suffered three losses this regular season at home when leading in the second half, a nine-point gap that currently separates 11th and 4th in the Western Conference. They have conceded three or more goals in each of their three league matches in Frisco this year, compared to only one home loss in the 2025 regular season.

Despite Quill's first season not being stellar, his team has accumulated 21 points after 19 MLS matchdays, one point more than the same period last year. Dallas FC has earned at least a point in each of their previous four encounters with Minnesota United, including a 5-3 victory in last season's matchup.

Minnesota United has maintained a top spot in the Western Conference but has dropped points, including last weekend. Their 2-2 draw with the New York Red Bulls marks the fifth time this year in MLS that they failed to win an opening match, resulting in 11 points lost. Under Eric Ramsay, the team has lost only one of their previous eight matches, with a 4-2 home defeat to the Western Conference-leading San Diego team.

Minnesota United remains unbeaten in their last three domestic away matches and has suffered only two losses as visitors so far in 2025. However, they have conceded five goals in their most recent two league away games, which is two more than the total they conceded in their previous five domestic away matches.

Predicted starting lineup for Dallas FC:

Pause; Moore, Augusto, Abbubakar, Farfan; Delgado, Nchabeleng, Legett; Kamungo, Musa, Acosta

Predicted starting lineup for Minnesota United:

St. Clair; Greissel, Diaz, Boxall, Harvey, Markanich; Rhode, Trapp, Pereira; Hlongwane, Yeboah